Carling Cup Final Betting Preview
Liverpool are unsurprisingly the bookmakers favourites to lift the Carling Cup trophy on Sunday but the team will be under immense pressure to bring home their first trophy in six years.
Ironically, Liverpool’s last piece of silverware was the FA Cup in 2006 – which they won in Cardiff.
The Reds go into the match full of confidence against Championship opposition having crushed Brighton 6-1 last weekend in the FA Cup fifth round. Kenny Dalglish’s side were, however, aided by three own goals.
Cardiff City are not in great form and have lost three of their last four league matches.
A comfortable 3-1 home victory against Peterborough United has been sandwiched by a home defeat against Blackpool and on the road losses at Leicester City and Ipswich Town last weekend.
Indeed, last weekend’s defeat at Ipswich saw the Bluebirds slip to fifth in the table and their involvement in the Cup this weekend could see them out of the top six depending on the results.
Liverpool are going to be well-backed and expected to win comfortably on Sunday but as we all know, football doesn’t always go according to plan.
And, where is the fun in backing a red-hot favourite at odds-on in a Cup final, where a wicked deflection, a missed offside call or a dubious penalty can all mean the difference between victory and defeat?
You could plough a significant percentage of your betting bank to try and “buy money” but before you do, I just want to leave you with four words to remember:
Birmingham City Last Season.
Verdict: Cardiff City @ 9.5 (Bet Victor)
- Liverpool @ 1.4 (Betfred)
- Draw @ 4.5 (bet365)
Scotland international Kenny Miller is usually the favourite in this market but given the standard of opposition, he has been pushed down the list. Therein could like some value and the current best price of 13.0 (bet365) looks tempting. Miller is without a goal in six matches but he was first off the mark the last time he scored – a 3-2 league victory against Portsmouth.
Selected other first goalscorers:
- Luis Suarez @ 6.0 (Bet Victor)
- Andy Carroll @ 7.0 (bet365)
- Craig Bellamy @ 7.0 (Coral)
- Steven Gerrard @ 7.5 (Bet Victor)
- Dirk Kuyt @ 9.5 (Bet Victor)
- Charlie Adam @ 13.0 (Coral)
- Joe Mason @ 15.0 (Ladbrokes)
- Rudy Gestede @ 15.0 (bet365)
- Stewart Downing @ 19.0 (Bet Victor)
- Peter Whittingham @ 19.0 (Boylesports)
- Martin Skrtel @ 26.0 (Paddy Power)
- Craig Conway @ 29.0 (bet365)
- No Goalscorer @ 12.0 (Betfred)
Cardiff-born Liverpool midfielder Craig Bellamy is the only player on the field who will draw applause from both teams should he score. He has also stated he will not celebrate should he score against the Bluebirds, where he spent a successful spell on loan last season. Bellamy can be backed at 2.6 (Bet Victor) to register his name on the score sheet.
Selected other anytime goalscorers:
- Luis Suarez @ 2.38 (Betfred)
- Andy Carroll @ 2.75 (bet365)
- Steven Gerrard @ 3.0 (Betfred)
- Dirk Kuyt @ 3.4 (Bet Victor)
- Charlie Adam @ 4.5 (Betfred)
- Kenny Miller @ 6.5 (Betfred)
- Stewart Downing @ 6.5 (Betfred)
- Joe Mason @ 7.5 (Betfred)
- Rudy Gestede @ 7.5 (Betfred)
- Peter Whittingham @ 8.5 (Betfred)
- Craig Conway @ 11.0 (bet365)
- Martin Skrtel @ 12.0 (Betfred)
A comfortable Liverpool victory is the bookmaker’s verdict so there is definite value in going against them. While the fancied scoreline is 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1, how about a 2-1 victory to Cardiff City at 26.0 (Sky Bet).
Selected other correct scores:
- Cardiff City 1-0 @ 21.0 (Paddy Power)
- Cardiff City 2-0 @ 56.0 (Coral)
- Cardiff City 3-0 @ 226.0 (Paddy Power)
- Cardiff City 3-1 @ 81.0 (bet365)
- Cardiff City 3-2 @ 101.0 (Bet Victor)
- Draw 0-0 @ 12.0 (Boylesports)
- Draw 1-1 @ 9.5 (Coral)
- Draw 2-2 @ 26.0 (Sky Bet)
- Liverpool 1-0 @ 7.0 (Betfred)
- Liverpool 2-0 @ 6.5 (Coral)
- Liverpool 2-1 @ 9.0 (Ladbrokes)
- Liverpool 3-0 @ 9.5 (Coral)
- Liverpool 3-1 @ 13.0 (Sky Bet)
- Liverpool 3-2 @ 34.0 (bet365)
- Liverpool 4-0 @ 17.0 (Ladbrokes)
- Liverpool 5-0 @ 41.0 (Sky Bet)
- Liverpool 6-0 @ 91.0 (Paddy Power)