Liverpool vs Arsenal Betting

Both teams enjoyed spectacular weekends and will go into this match full of confidence.

Liverpool beat Cardiff City on penalties in an exciting and memorable Carling Cup Final to end their six-year wait for a trophy while Arsenal battled from two goals down to defeat arch-rivals Tottenham Hotspur 5-2 in a classic north London derby.

While a trophy in the cabinet is important for Liverpool in terms of progress and morale, they must turn their attentions to something arguably more important which is Champions League qualification.

They head into Saturday’s match in seventh position and as many points behind Arsenal in fourth place. The Reds are now an outside bet to finish in the top four with both Chelsea and Newcastle above them in the reckoning but home advantage is key this weekend.

Liverpool, like Manchester City, are unbeaten at home this season. However, they have won just four out of 12 in front of their home fans, on a par with Blackburn Rovers who sit in the bottom three.

Kenny Dalglish’s side have become draw specialists at Anfield, with eight matches ending all square this season. That is where out attentions will focus on for this particular match because six of the last nine meetings have ended in deadlock, five of which with a 1-1 scoreline.

Arsenal look susceptible on the road and have lost more than they have won – six defeats to five victories, with two draws thrown in for good measure.

Despite netting five goals last Sunday, the Gunners have not scored in three of their last four away matches in all competitions. That said, at Anfield, they find their shooting boots and have scored in their last five Premier League visits. The 2008-09 campaign saw them score four times in a remarkable 4-4 draw.

With Liverpool solid, if not spectacular at home and with eight draws at Anfield already this season combined with the recent draw sequence between these two, another stalemate would not come as a great shock.

Verdict: Draw @ 3.6 (Bet Victor)

Other Results:

  • Liverpool @ 2.05 (Boylesports)
  • Arsenal @ 3.8 (Betfred)

First Goalscorer

Due to playing away from home, red-hot Robin Van Persie does not head-up the bookmaker’s first goalscorer list in the betting, with them favouring Liverpool striker Luis Suarez instead. But, with 33 goals in all competitions to his name this season, Van Persie cannot be ignored and he is available to bulge the back of the net first at 6.5 (bet365).

Selected other first goalscorers:

  • Luis Suarez @ 6.0 (Sky Bet)
  • Craig Bellamy @ 7.5 (Boylesports)
  • Andy Carroll @ 8.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Steven Gerrard @ 8.5 (Bet Victor)
  • Dirk Kuyt @ 10.0 (Sportingbet)
  • Maxi Rodriguez @ 12.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Gervinho @ 13.0 (Boylesports)
  • Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain @ 15.0 (Boylesports)
  • Charlie Adam @ 15.0 (Coral)
  • Theo Walcott @ 15.0 (Bet Victor)
  • Mikel Arteta @ 19.0 (bet365)
  • Aaron Ramsey @ 21.0 (bet365)
  • No Goalscorer @ 13.0 (Sky Bet)

Anytime Goalscorer

One player who showed his goal scoring ability last week was Dirk Kuyt  for Liverpool. The bustling midfielder had only been on the pitch five minutes during extra time of the Carling Cup Final and put Liverpool 2-1 in front. With three goals in his last six club matches, he’s worth a dabble at 4.0 (Sportingbet).

Selected other anytime goalscorers:

  • Luis Suarez @ 2.5 (Ladbrokes)
  • Robin Van Persie @ 2.6 (bet365)
  • Craig Bellamy @ 3.0 (Sky Bet)
  • Andy Carroll @ 3.25 (Paddy Power)
  • Steven Gerrard @ 3.4 (Sky Bet)
  • Maxi Rodriguez @ 4.5 (Ladbrokes)
  • Gervinho @ 4.75 (Sportingbet)
  • Theo Walcott @ 5.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain @ 5.5 (Sky Bet)
  • Charlie Adam @ 5.5 (Coral)
  • Mikel Arteta @ 7.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Aaron Ramsey @ 7.5 (bet365)

Correct Score

With recent history between these two clubs suggesting a draw and with five of the last nine meetings ending in one goal apiece, I cannot see beyond a 1-1 draw. Unsurprisingly, it’s also the bookmakers’ correct score of choice and the best price currently available is 7.5 (Bet Victor).

Selected other correct scores:

  • Liverpool 1-0 @ 8.0 (Sky Bet)
  • Liverpool 2-0 @ 11.0 (Coral)
  • Liverpool 2-1 @ 9.0 (Bet Victor)
  • Liverpool 3-0 @ 19.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Liverpool 3-1 @ 17.0 (Coral)
  • Liverpool 3-2 @ 29.0 (Bet Victor)
  • Draw 0-0 @ 13.0 (Sky Bet)
  • Draw 2-2 @ 15.0 (Sportingbet)
  • Arsenal 1-0 @ 12.0 (bet365)
  • Arsenal 2-0 @ 23.0 (Bet Victor)
  • Arsenal 2-1 @ 13.0 (Betfred)
  • Arsenal 3-0 @ 51.0 (Betfred)
  • Arsenal 3-1 @ 31.0 (Coral)
  • Arsenal 3-2 @ 41.0 (Bet Victor)

Premier League Predictions 4 February 2012

Seven matches take place on Saturday 4 February with teams boosted by their deadline day arrivals. Arsenal and Manchester City will be keen to get back to winning ways with home fixtures against Blackburn Rovers and Fulham, while there is a relegation six pointer happening at Loftus Road when Queens Park Rangers take on Wolves.

Arsenal vs Blackburn Rovers

This could be a potential banana skin for Arsenal who are yet to win in 2012. However, a goalless draw at Bolton midweek stopped the rot to some degree and at the very least, prevented their first four-match losing streak under Arsene Wenger.

Even though Blackburn are a tough side to beat on their travels – they have only lost five of their last 15 on the road – Wenger will no doubt see this fixture as a means to get back to winning ways.

The Gunners have an excellent record against Rovers – prior to last season’s goalless draw, they had won seven successive home league matches.

Robin Van Persie has scored 10 goals in 12 matches against Blackburn and with Chris Samba not playing, Rovers defence is not as strong as it could be.

Verdict: Arsenal @ 1.3 (Betfred)

Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers

The statistics suggest this will be a goalfest due to the dire defensive records of both teams. Norwich have kept one clean sheet this season while Bolton have managed just one match in their last 37 on the road where they haven’t conceded a goal.

The Canaries have struggled in front of goal in recent matches. While Chelsea and Spurs can be forgiven, Paul Lambert’s side could only muster a last minute goal against poor travellers Fulham.

Bolton have boosted their attacking options with Watford striker Marvin Sordell and managed to keep hold of Kevin Davies but I think the home side will edge this one.

Verdict: Norwich City @ 2.1 (Betfred)

Queens Park Rangers vs Wolves

There will be huge expectation on QPR to win this match despite struggling at the wrong end of the table themselves. Mark Hughes will be optimistic in that his side lead at Aston Villa 2-0 before drawing the game 2-2, but a leaky defence is a major cause for concern.

Even with the arrivals of Taye Taiwo and Nedum Onuoha, Rangers’ back line still looked shaky and Wolves will feel they can get something from this game. Steven Fletcher is in form and has scored in each of his last four on the road while the arrival of Sebastien Bassong from Spurs will bolster their defence.

But, let’s not pretend Wolves are something special. They are second from bottom for a reason and have won just once away from home. With new signing Djibril Cisse up front, Rangers for once look like they have a dangerous striker on their books.

Verdict: Queens Park Rangers @ 1.62 (Ladbrokes)

Stoke City vs Sunderland

In recent seasons this fixture would have been marked down as a home win but things are a little more complicated this term. Stoke have been relatively poor at the Britannia Stadium this season, winning just four of their 11 home matches.

Four draws and three defeats suggest they are tough to beat which is why I am not going to rave about Sunderland’s chances here, despite their remarkable turnaround in form since Martin O’Neill took over.

In 11 matches since O’Neill took over, the Black Cats have won seven, drawn two and lost two, but they could get a reality check against a physical Tony Pulis side.

Verdict: Draw @ 3.4 (Sky Bet)

West Bromwich Albion vs Swansea City

West Brom have tumbled down the table and Norwich City were correctly predicted to beat them at the Hawthorns last weekend. Just two home victories in 11, scoring eight goals in the process is the form of a team battling against the drop.

Much has been said about Swansea’s passing game and quite frankly, the comparisons with Barcelona are ridiculous. For a start, Barcelona win away from home, something that the Swans struggle to do.

One victory, three draws and seven defeats on the road is the reason Swansea are still not out of relegation danger but taking into consideration West Brom’s wretched home form, they cannot be backed with any confidence either. Bore draw, anyone?

Verdict: Draw @ 3.4 (Bet Victor)

Wigan Athletic vs Everton

I have tried to view Wigan positively in the last few weeks, giving credibility to their fighting spirit but the fact is, for all their bluster, they are a poor side.

Roberto Martinez’s side have been beaten six times at home already this season and face an Everton side full of confidence. The Toffees beat high-flying Manchester City midweek and have a good away record against the Premier League’s strugglers this season – beating West Brom, Bolton Wanderers, Fulham and Blackburn Rovers.

Manager David Moyes also has some depth in the squad following the arrivals of Steven Pienaar, Nikica Jelavic and Darron Gibson – scorer of the winning goal against Manchester City.

Verdict: Everton @ 2.2 (Boylesports)

Manchester City vs Fulham

January has been a poor month by City’s standards. Even though they won three of their five Premier League fixtures, two defeats at Sunderland and Everton mean their lead at the top of the table has been reduced to goal difference.

However, City are perfect at the Etihad – winning 11 out of 11, scoring 34 goals and conceding just six in the process. They will be expected to continue this sequence against Fulham, who are notoriously poor on the road. Just one win in 11 and scoring seven goals in the process does not bode well against a side abundant in attacking options.

City are boosted by the return of Vincent Kompany in defence and they have added to their midfield options with the loan arrival of David Pizarro. Fulham sold Bobby Zamora to QPR on deadline day but brought in striker Pavel Pogrebnyak from Stuttgart.

Verdict: Manchester City @ 1.3 (Paddy Power)

Premier League Predictions 22 January 2012

Super Sunday lives up to its name for once with two cracking fixtures taking place on 22 January. First up, Premier League leaders Manchester City take on third-placed Tottenham Hotspur at the Etihad and later on, second placed Manchester United travel to the Emirates to face Arsenal. Victories for both Manchester sides are predicted – find out why here.

Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur

This has been a massive fixture for both teams in the past couple of seasons. In 2010, striker Peter Crouch got the winner to guarantee Champions League football for Spurs for the first time and last season, an own goal from Crouch in a 1-0 defeat meant it was City who would play in Europe’s most lucrative competition.

City top the Premier League table and go into the match three points ahead of local rivals United. A victory against Spurs is imperative to keep a three point margin should Alex Ferguson’s side win at Arsenal later in the day. City have an excellent record at home this season – winning all 10 matches and have scored 31 goals in the process, conceding just four.

Spurs have also been excellent on the road this season – winning six, drawing two and losing two but it could be argued the pressure is getting to Harry Redknapp’s side. Spurs could only muster a 1-1 draw at home against Wolves last weekend, with Luka Modric sparing his team’s blushes after they fell behind to a Steven Fletcher goal in the first half.

Compare that to City, where much has been said about their vulnerability due to the loss of Vincent Kompany to suspension and Yaya and Kolo Toure leaving for the Africa Cup of Nations. On Monday night they faced a difficult trip to a Wigan side fighting for their lives at the bottom of the table. But, while Spurs only drew, City held their nerve to grind out a 1-0 victory and get back on track after suffering successive Cup defeats.

Spurs have won four of their last six visits to City but with Roberto Mancini’s side holding onto a perfect home record so far, I think they are capable of adding another tick to the win column.

Verdict: Manchester City @ 1.91 (Ladbrokes)

Arsenal vs Manchester United

The City result will determine just how vital this match is for United but if Alex Ferguson’s side harbour any ambitions of overtaking their local rivals, a victory against Arsenal would be a good start.

Arsenal will want to throw a spanner in the works and gain some revenge for the humiliating 8-2 defeat at Old Trafford last August. But, depending on Saturday’s results they will be at least four points behind fourth placed Chelsea going into this match and still licking their wounds from a 3-2 defeat at Swansea last weekend, they won’t want to do anything stupid.

Champions League football is the goal for Arsene Wenger this season and they cannot afford many more slip-ups if they are to overtake their west London rivals. If they can’t do it, Newcastle and Liverpool will give it a good go. Not losing this match will be on Wenger’s mind.

United have a solid away record this season, winning seven out of 10, two draws and just one defeat – exactly the same record that Arsenal have at the Emirates this season. The goals for and against are almost identical too: Arsenal have scored 16 and conceded six at home, while United have scored 19 and conceded six away.

In terms of picking goalscorers – both Arsenal and United hotshots have a great record against each other. Arsenal striker Robin Van Persie has netted three times past United while Wayne Rooney has scored six goals in his last six appearances against the Gunners in all competitions.

Verdict: Manchester United @ 2.62 (Paddy Power)

Premier League Predictions 15 January 2012

Two intriguing matches take place in the Premier League on Sunday 15 January. Mark Hughes takes charge of his first match as manager of QPR who visit Newcastle United while two of the division’s great entertainers, Swansea City and Arsenal meet at the Liberty Stadium.

Newcastle United vs Queens Park Rangers

After a storming start to the season, Newcastle are starting to falter a little. They may have beaten Manchester United 3-0 in their last Premier League match but in their last 10 league matches, five have ended in defeat.

Alan Pardew’s side sit comfortably in seventh place but are without midfield enforcer Cheick Tiote and 15-goal Demba Ba who are both on duty at the Africa Cup of Nations. Losing two such influential players is a massive blow and it will be interesting to see how the Magpies cope in their absence.

As the old saying goes, one man’s loss is another man’s gain and new QPR boss Mark Hughes will look to capitalise on Newcastle’s weaknesses in his first match in charge.

Hughes, without a club since walking out on Fulham last summer, is an intriguing appointment. He left Craven Cottage because he felt the board lacked ambition and as a manager he wants to win trophies and compete at the highest level. In that case and with all due respect, what is he doing at QPR?

Realistically, the best they can hope to emulate is that of the likes of Stoke, or opponents Newcastle. Challenge for a top 10 finish and perhaps sneak into the Europa League. Hughes is living in a fantasy land if he believes he is in charge of a club destined for Champions League glory.

But, first there are more pressing matters at hand, like avoiding relegation to the Championship. QPR are without a win in their last eight games, registering two draws and six defeats – just two points from the last 24 available. Relegation form that needs to be turned around quickly. They have not won away from home since the 19 November when they beat Stoke City 3-2.

They don’t score many goals either – 20 all season in fact. Hughes will be concerned about the over reliance on Heidur Helguson who has score eight of those goals and a new striker will probably arrive during the transfer window.

Ironically, Hughes may have to adopt the tactics that ultimately cost him his job at Manchester City – view not getting beat as a good result. He may not be able to perform miracles on his first game in charge but a point at the Sports Direct Arena would be a good start.

Verdict: Draw @ 3.75 (Coral)

Swansea City vs Arsenal

The second televised match of the day pits two of the best footballing sides in the division against each other. Premier League new boys Swansea, who have built a reputation of a fast-paced, entertaining passing game against the grand masters of such a style of play in Arsenal.

The Gunners could give Thierry Henry his second Premier League debut. The 34-year-old striker is on loan from New York Red Bulls and scored the winning goal against Leeds United in the FA Cup on Monday after coming on as a late substitute.

Swansea have lost just once at home this season – to Manchester United – and the visit of Arsenal, the Premier League’s top goalscorer Robin Van Persie with 17 and returning legend Henry won’t phase them. The Swans narrowly lost 1-0 to Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium in September when Andrei Arshavin scored the winner five minutes before half time.

Their defensive form at home is as good as table toppers Manchester City, with just four goals conceded but with a return of 12 goals in 10 matches, a quality-packed side like Arsenal will fancy their chances of nicking a result. Indeed, only Manchester City have scored more goals on the road than the 20 the Gunners have managed this season.

Swansea will undoubtedly give Arsenal a game at the Liberty Stadium and the football played by both sides is sure to be entertaining. But, I think Arsene Wenger’s side will return to London with all three points.

Verdict: Arsenal @ 1.83 (Bet Victor)