Cardiff City vs Liverpool – Carling Cup Final Betting

Carling Cup Final Betting Preview

Liverpool are unsurprisingly the bookmakers favourites to lift the Carling Cup trophy on Sunday but the team will be under immense pressure to bring home their first trophy in six years.

Ironically, Liverpool’s last piece of silverware was the FA Cup in 2006 – which they won in Cardiff.

The Reds go into the match full of confidence against Championship opposition having crushed Brighton 6-1 last weekend in the FA Cup fifth round. Kenny Dalglish’s side were, however, aided by three own goals.

Cardiff City are not in great form and have lost three of their last four league matches.

A comfortable 3-1 home victory against Peterborough United has been sandwiched by a home defeat against Blackpool and on the road losses at Leicester City and Ipswich Town last weekend.

Indeed, last weekend’s defeat at Ipswich saw the Bluebirds slip to fifth in the table and their involvement in the Cup this weekend could see them out of the top six depending on the results.

Liverpool are going to be well-backed and expected to win comfortably on Sunday but as we all know, football doesn’t always go according to plan.

And, where is the fun in backing a red-hot favourite at odds-on in a Cup final, where a wicked deflection, a missed offside call or a dubious penalty can all mean the difference between victory and defeat?

You could plough a significant percentage of your betting bank to try and “buy money” but before you do, I just want to leave you with four words to remember:

Birmingham City Last Season.

Verdict: Cardiff City @ 9.5 (Bet Victor)

Other Results:

  • Liverpool @ 1.4 (Betfred)
  • Draw @ 4.5 (bet365)

First Goalscorer

Scotland international Kenny Miller is usually the favourite in this market but given the standard of opposition, he has been pushed down the list. Therein could like some value and the current best price of 13.0 (bet365) looks tempting. Miller is without a goal in six matches but he was first off the mark the last time he scored – a 3-2 league victory against Portsmouth.

Selected other first goalscorers:

  • Luis Suarez @ 6.0 (Bet Victor)
  • Andy Carroll @ 7.0 (bet365)
  • Craig Bellamy @ 7.0 (Coral)
  • Steven Gerrard @ 7.5 (Bet Victor)
  • Dirk Kuyt @ 9.5 (Bet Victor)
  • Charlie Adam @ 13.0 (Coral)
  • Joe Mason @ 15.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Rudy Gestede @ 15.0 (bet365)
  • Stewart Downing @ 19.0 (Bet Victor)
  • Peter Whittingham @ 19.0 (Boylesports)
  • Martin Skrtel @ 26.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Craig Conway @ 29.0 (bet365)
  • No Goalscorer @ 12.0 (Betfred)

Anytime Goalscorer

Cardiff-born Liverpool midfielder Craig Bellamy is the only player on the field who will draw applause from both teams should he score. He has also stated he will not celebrate should he score against the Bluebirds, where he spent a successful spell on loan last season. Bellamy can be backed at 2.6 (Bet Victor) to register his name on the score sheet.

Selected other anytime goalscorers:

  • Luis Suarez @ 2.38 (Betfred)
  • Andy Carroll @ 2.75 (bet365)
  • Steven Gerrard @ 3.0 (Betfred)
  • Dirk Kuyt @ 3.4 (Bet Victor)
  • Charlie Adam @ 4.5 (Betfred)
  • Kenny Miller @ 6.5 (Betfred)
  • Stewart Downing @ 6.5 (Betfred)
  • Joe Mason @ 7.5 (Betfred)
  • Rudy Gestede @ 7.5 (Betfred)
  • Peter Whittingham @ 8.5 (Betfred)
  • Craig Conway @ 11.0 (bet365)
  • Martin Skrtel @ 12.0 (Betfred)

Correct Score

A comfortable Liverpool victory is the bookmaker’s verdict so there is definite value in going against them. While the fancied scoreline is 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1, how about a 2-1 victory to Cardiff City at 26.0 (Sky Bet).

Selected other correct scores:

  • Cardiff City 1-0 @ 21.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Cardiff City 2-0 @ 56.0 (Coral)
  • Cardiff City 3-0 @ 226.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Cardiff City 3-1 @ 81.0 (bet365)
  • Cardiff City 3-2 @ 101.0 (Bet Victor)
  • Draw 0-0 @ 12.0 (Boylesports)
  • Draw 1-1 @ 9.5 (Coral)
  • Draw 2-2 @ 26.0 (Sky Bet)
  • Liverpool 1-0 @ 7.0 (Betfred)
  • Liverpool 2-0 @ 6.5 (Coral)
  • Liverpool 2-1 @ 9.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Liverpool 3-0 @ 9.5 (Coral)
  • Liverpool 3-1 @ 13.0 (Sky Bet)
  • Liverpool 3-2 @ 34.0 (bet365)
  • Liverpool 4-0 @ 17.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Liverpool 5-0 @ 41.0 (Sky Bet)
  • Liverpool 6-0 @ 91.0 (Paddy Power)

Liverpool Favourites in Carling Cup Final Betting

Liverpool are the red hot favourites with the bookmakers to lift the Carling Cup this season.

The Reds twice came from behind to draw against Manchester City at Anfield to win the tie 3-2 on aggregate.

Having not won at Anfield for nine years, punters were advised to back the draw at best odds of 3.3 and the bet duly obliged.

Nigel De Jong scored from distance after 31 minutes to level the score on aggregate but a Steven Gerrard penalty 10 minutes later saw the advantage return to Liverpool.

Edin Dzeko put City in front for a second time after 67 minutes but Welshman Craig Bellamy, on loan at Cardiff City last season, struck on 74 to set up a final against the Bluebirds.

The night before, Cardiff City overturned a 1-0 deficit and beat Crystal Palace just as predicted.

Our advice was to back odds-on Cardiff to win in 90 minutes at odds of 1.8 and an early own goal from Anthony Gardner was enough to earn the home side a 1-0 victory.

While the bet came up trumps, it was not enough to secure passage to the final for Malky Mackay’s team.

Despite enjoying the lions share of possession and creating almost 20 chances, the score remained 1-1 on aggregate. Kenny Miller, Peter Whittingham and Aron Gunnarsson all saw efforts come back off the woodwork while Palace were reduced to 10 men from 78 minutes when Paddy McCarthy was sent off for a second bookable offence.

Both extra time and then penalties were required to separate the teams and when Miller blazed his effort high and wide it looked like it was not going to be City’s night.

But, goalkeeper Tom Heaton saved efforts from Jermaine Easter and Sean Scannell with Jonathan Parr shooting Palace’s make-or-break penalty over the bar.

Cardiff won 3-1 on penalties and booked a third Wembley final in four seasons.

Liverpool can be backed at current best odds of 1.17 (Sky Bet) to lift the trophy. If Kenny Dalglish’s side win, it will be the clubs first trophy since 2006 – when the Reds won the FA Cup and Community Shield a few months later.

Cardiff are rank outsiders and are available at 5.5 (bet365). The last time City won a trophy was in 2003 as Division Two play-off winners and of course they reached the FA Cup final in 2008 but were beaten by Portsmouth.

Cardiff City vs Crystal Palace Betting

Carling Cup Semi Final Second Leg

Cardiff City are the odds-on, bookmakers favourites to beat Crystal Palace over 90 minutes but they need to overturn a 1-0 deficit from the first leg to reach a Wembley final for the third time in four years.

The omens look good for Cardiff. The Bluebirds have won eight of their last nine at home, including a 2-0 victory against Palace last November. Malky Mackay’s side go into this match off the back of a 3-2 victory against Portsmouth, having trailed 2-1 with 21 minutes remaining.

City created a lot of chances in the second half and were rewarded two minutes into stoppage time when Craig Conway fired in a winner from distance.

Palace manager Dougie Freedman made 10 changes for Saturday’s trip to Blackpool and was perhaps unlucky to see his side lose 2-1, having lead 1-0 until five minutes remaining.

However, the result is also indicative to Palace’s recent performances away from Selhurst Park. The Eagles have lost four of their last six away matches after defeating Manchester United in the quarter final of this competition. Indeed, only the bottom two sides in the Championship have lost more games on the road than Freedman’s team.

Palace looked an organised, rock solid outfit in the first leg, with Wilfred Zaha a real threat. But, only two teams have outscored Cardiff at home this season – leaders Southampton and freescoring Peterborough.

With City keeper David Marshall dropping a clanger against Portsmouth and Tom Heaton completely misjudging the free kick that lead to Palace’s goal in the first leg, Macakay’s team are vulnerable at the back.

There are likely to be goals scored at both ends but Cardiff are set to score more.

Verdict: Cardiff City @ 1.80 (Ladbrokes)

Other Results:

  • Crystal Palace @ 5.0 (Betfred)
  • Draw @ 3.75 (Coral)

First Goalscorer

Scotland international Kenny Miller is unsurprisingly the bookmakers favourite to score the first goal at a best price of 5.5 (Paddy Power). The City striker netted his tenth goal of the season to break the deadlock against Portsmouth on Saturday and will be the focal point of most of the Bluebirds’ attacks on Tuesday night.

Selected other first goalscorers:

  • Robert Earnshaw @ 6.5 (Ladbrokes)
  • Joe Mason @ 7.5 (Betfred)
  • Rudy Gestede @ 8.0 (Coral)
  • Peter Whittingham @ 8.5 (Sky Bet)
  • Chris Martin @ 11.0 (bet365)
  • Glenn Murray @ 11.0 (bet365)
  • Jermaine Easter @ 11.0 (bet365)
  • Don Cowie @ 13.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Sean Scannell @ 13.0 (Coral)
  • Steffen Iversen @ 13.0 (bet365)
  • Wilfred Zaha @ 13.0 (bet365)
  • Aron Gunnarsson @ 15.0 (Betfred)
  • No Goalscorer @ 9.0 (Bet Victor)

Anytime Goalscorer

Cardiff midfielder Peter Whittingham looks a good shout for an anytime goalscorer at 3.6 (Paddy Power). He has scored eight goals in all competitions this season, including one against Palace in November. Whittingham has gone 11 league and cup games without scoring a goal – he is overdue getting his name on the score sheet.

Selected other anytime goalscorers:

  • Robert Earnshaw @ 2.7 (Paddy Power)
  • Joe Mason @ 2.88 (Paddy Power)
  • Rudy Gestede @ 3.25 (Coral)
  • Chris Martin @ 4.33 (bet365)
  • Glenn Murray @ 4.33 (bet365)
  • Jermaine Easter @ 4.33 (bet365)
  • Sean Scannell @ 5.0 (Coral)
  • Steffen Iversen @ 5.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Wilfred Zaha @ 5.0 (bet365)
  • Aron Gunnarsson @ 5.5 (Paddy Power)
  • Darren Ambrose @ 6.0 (bet365)

Correct Score

A fairly low scoring match is predicted with the bookmakers favouring a narrow Cardiff victory or a draw over 90 minutes. A repeat of City’s 2-0 victory against Palace last November can be backed at 7.5 (Sportingbet).

Selected other correct scores:

  • Cardiff City 1-0 @ 7.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Cardiff City 2-1 @ 8.5 (Bet Victor)
  • Cardiff City 3-0 @ 17.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Cardiff City 3-1 @ 17.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Cardiff City 3-2 @ 41.0 (Boylesports)
  • Draw 0-0 @ 9.5 (Paddy Power)
  • Draw 1-1 @ 7.5 (Ladbrokes)
  • Draw 2-2 @ 21.0 (Sky Bet)
  • Crystal Palace 1-0 @ 13.0 (bet365)
  • Crystal Palace 2-0 @ 29.0 (Coral)
  • Crystal Palace 2-1 @ 19.0 (bet365)
  • Crystal Palace 3-0 @ 81.0 (Bet Victor)
  • Crystal Palace 3-1 @ 67.0 (Boylesports)

Crystal Palace vs Cardiff City Betting

Carling Cup Semi Final First Leg

The eighth League Cup semi final between two non-top flight teams (and the first since 2000) pits Championship duo Crystal Palace against Cardiff City.

Cardiff go into this tie with superior league form, sitting in third place just two points off the automatic promotion slots while Palace have fallen away a little and find themselves eleventh. However, they are just three points away from the play-off places.

The Bluebirds beat Palace at home back in November by a 2-0 scoreline and having attended the match myself, I didn’t see what all the fuss was about Dougie Freedman’s side who were in the play-off places at the time.

Admittedly, Darren Ambrose did not participate in that match and he has been instrumental during Palace’s cup run this season, scoring a wonder goal to help knock out Manchester United in the last round.

Both teams fielded weakened sides in last weekend’s FA Cup fixtures and subsequently both were eliminated. Palace were missing key players through illness while Cardiff boss Malky Mackay rested the likes of Kenny Miller, Aron Gunnarson, captain Mark Hudson and the in-demand Peter Whittingham.

Palace go into this game with a great home record in the League Cup. Indeed, they have lost just twice in their last 30 fixtures in this competition, winning 24 of them. However, Cardiff have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five trips to Palace in all competitions.

A tight match looks the safest bet because neither side will want to “lose” the first leg, giving them everything to play for when they meet again at the Cardiff City Stadium in a fortnight’s time. City have lost four of their last six away matches in the League Cup but have drawn seven of their 13 league matches on the road this season.

City manager Mackay has instilled a work ethic into his team and generally this campaign, Cardiff keep things tight at the back. A weakened defence was breached four times in their FA Cup defeat at West Brom last weekend but with a full-strength side, I can see this one ending goalless or possibly 1-1.

Verdict: Draw @ 3.25 (Bet Victor)

Other Results:

  • Cardiff City @ 2.38 (Betfred)
  • Crystal Palace @ 3.3 (bet365)

First Goalscorer

Crystal Palace midfielder Darren Ambrose has scored three goals in his last three appearances in the competition, including a wonder strike against Manchester United in the last round. The former Newcastle United player can be backed at 12.0 (Paddy Power).

Selected other first goalscorers:

  • Kenny Miller @ 7.0 (Betfred)
  • Robert Earnshaw @ 8.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Glenn Murray @ 8.0 (bet365)
  • Jermaine Easter @ 8.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Joe Mason @ 8.0 (Coral)
  • Chris Martin @ 8.5 (Paddy Power)
  • Wilfred Zaha @ 9.0 (Betfred)
  • Rudy Gestede @ 9.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Steffen Iversen @ 10.0 (bet365)
  • Antonio Pedroza @ 10.0 (Bet Victor)
  • Peter Whittingham @ 11.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Sean Scannell @ 11.0 (Bet Victor)
  • No Goalscorer @ 9.0 (Boylesports)

Anytime Goalscorer

The bookmakers see Kenny Miller as the biggest goal threat and he netted in City’s 2-0 league defeat of Palace last year. Miller can be backed at 2.88 (bet365) to do the same again.

Selected other anytime goalscorers:

  • Joe Mason @ 3.5 (Paddy Power)
  • Robert Earnshaw @ 3.5  (Sportingbet)
  • Glenn Murray @ 3.6 (bet365)
  • Jermaine Easter @ 3.6 (Paddy Power)
  • Chris Martin @ 3.75 (Paddy Power)
  • Wilfred Zaha @ 4.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Rudy Gestede @ 4.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Steffen Iversen @ 4.33 (bet365)
  • Antonio Pedroza @ 4.33 (bet365)
  • Peter Whittingham @ 4.5 (Paddy Power)
  • Sean Scannell @ 4.5 (bet365)
  • Darren Ambrose @ 5.0 (Paddy Power)

Correct Score

The bookmakers believe this is going to be a tight match and 1-1 can be backed at a best price of 7.0 (Ladbrokes) or 0-0 at 9.0 (Boylesports).

Selected other correct scores:

  • Crystal Palace 1-0 @ 8.5 (bet365)
  • Crystal Palace 2-0 @ 15.0 (Sky Bet)
  • Crystal Palace 2-1 @ 13.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Crystal Palace 3-0 @ 41.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Crystal Palace 3-1 @ 29.0 (Coral)
  • Draw 2-2 @ 17.0 (bet365)
  • Draw 3-3 @ 101.0 (Sportingbet)
  • Cardiff City 1-0 @ 7.5 (Bet Victor)
  • Cardiff City 2-0 @ 13.0 (Paddy Power)
  • Cardiff City 2-1 @ 11.0 (Ladbrokes)
  • Cardiff City 3-0 @ 29.0 (Bet Victor)
  • Cardiff City 3-1 @ 23.0 (Ladbrokes)